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Hostile NPC Bow

Permafrost loot reference

Possible items
12
Pool rolls
1
Possible items
12 Wooden Arrow, Bag of Chips, Beef Jerky
Possible items
12 Distinct items
Wooden Arrow
100%

What one opening can tell you

The table separates each random draw from a complete opening. A small nonzero chance remains visible, and expected units describe an average across many openings rather than an item guaranteed on this visit.

Probability assumptions and expected quantities
  • Calculated from the captured, rounded chance per roll and the listed number of rolls. The exact game weights are unavailable here.
  • Chance of at least one: 1 − (1 − p)^n, conditional on independent rolls with the same probability. Independence has not been verified in the game.
  • Expected units: n × p × quantity. Ranged amounts produce lower and upper bounds; no uniform quantity distribution is assumed. An average is not a guarantee.
  • A missing roll count stays unknown. A captured zero count means zero draws in this model. If quantity can be zero, the probability of receiving an item is unknown without its quantity distribution.
  • Each pool row is separate. These calculations do not establish respawn times, present-day availability or the safety of a loot route.
Guaranteed contents
Wooden Arrow1–2
Random contents · conditional calculations
Bag of Chips19.1%UnknownUnknownUnknownConsumables: Pocket Food *
Beef Jerky19.1%UnknownUnknownUnknownConsumables: Pocket Food *
Chocolate Bar19.1%UnknownUnknownUnknownConsumables: Pocket Food *
Energy Drink19.1%UnknownUnknownUnknownConsumables: Pocket Food *
Granola Bar19.1%UnknownUnknownUnknownConsumables: Pocket Food *
Ice Cream19.1%UnknownUnknownUnknownConsumables: Pocket Food *
Improvised Tea19.1%UnknownUnknownUnknownConsumables: Pocket Food *
Instant Oatmeal19.1%UnknownUnknownUnknownConsumables: Pocket Food *
Juice19.1%UnknownUnknownUnknownConsumables: Pocket Food *
Nut Mix19.1%UnknownUnknownUnknownConsumables: Pocket Food *
Sugar19.1%UnknownUnknownUnknownConsumables: Pocket Food *
Selected loot trade values
Beef Jerky15 Bucks1UnknownConsumable
Energy Drink15 Bucks1UnknownConsumable
Improvised Tea15 Bucks1UnknownConsumable
Granola Bar12 Bucks1UnknownConsumable
Juice12 Bucks1UnknownConsumable
Nut Mix12 Bucks1UnknownConsumable
Containers that share these loot pools
Consumables: Pocket Food *11Car Big · 1 roll Hostile NPC IZG · 1 roll Hostile NPC Mrozny · 1 roll Hostile NPC SG9 · 1 roll Hostile NPC AKU94 · 1 roll Solars General Trader's stock · 2 rolls

Connected entries

PermafrostPermafrost Loot TablesPermafrost Data MethodologyWooden ArrowBag of ChipsBeef JerkyChocolate BarEnergy DrinkGranola BarIce CreamImprovised TeaInstant OatmealJuiceNut MixSugarCar BigHostile NPC IZGHostile NPC MroznyHostile NPC SG9Hostile NPC AKU94Solars General Trader's stockAmmo BoxAmmo Box (Tier 1)CabinetCabinet (Tier 1)Car MediumCar MilitaryCar Military (Tier 1)Permafrost ItemsPermafrost traders and pricesPermafrost animals and hunting
Reference snapshot: October 12, 2026 · Source build 0.44.2.4634-milestone.
Permafrost by SpaceRocket Games / Toplitz Productions · Sources, availability and version notes